A YouGov poll predicts that Andrew Bridgen will lose his North West Leicestershire seat to Labour's Amanda Hack at the next General Election.

Information released by the market research company suggests that will be the outcome.

However, in North West Leicestershire, the margins are tight.

Around 36 per cent of voters in the constituency are set to support Labour, voting for the current leader of the local party on Leicestershire County Council, compared to 33 per cent voting for the Conservative candidate, Craig Smith, YouGov's figures indicated. The remaining share is eight per cent Greens, 8 per cent LibDems and 16 per cent Reform.

Mr Bridgen has held the seat since 2010, originally as a Conservative.

However, he was suspended from the Party in January 2023 after posting a tweet saying that vaccines were the "biggest crime against humanity since the Holocaust" and were causing "serious harm".

Labour's candidate for the North West Leicestershire seat is Amanda Hack. Photo: Supplied

Mr Bridgen then briefly represented Laurence Fox's Reclaim Party in Parliament, acting as its only sitting MP.

However, he announced his departure from Reclaim in December 2023, citing a "difference in the direction of the party" as the reason.

Political website Guido Fawkes later claimed it was actually due to a spat over a car and a Christmas tree.

Mr Bridgen will be running as an independent candidate in the election, which is expected to be held later this year.

Craig Smith is the Conservative candidate for the North West Leicedstershire seat. Photo: Supplied

In addition to the main parties, the YouGov results gave a vote share for 'other' candidates, which would include independent candidates. For North West Leicestershire, that share was zero.

Mr Bridgen did not respond to our request for a comment on the prediction.

However, Ms Hack said: "The YouGov MRP poll is good news for Labour locally and nationally and has given the team a real boost.

"However, the only poll that will determine the outcome of the next General Election is in the hands of voters.

"What people are saying in North West Leicestershire, day in, day out, is that they have had enough of this Government and the current sitting MP and they want change.

"We will continue to work hard for every vote by offering a sensible, credible and costed alternative for North West Leicestershire."